Wednesday, February 23, 2005
Cinematography

    The Nominees:
    The Aviator
    House of Flying Daggers
    Passion of the Christ
    Phantom of the Opera
    A Very Long Engagement

    What will happen?
    This will be the only Oscar that Passion of the Christ gets, though it's nominated for three. Phantom of the Opera will come in second, mostly because of voters who confused its title with Passion or who had hanging chad on their ballots.
Costume Design
    The Nominees:
    The Aviator
    Finding Neverland
    Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
    Ray
    Troy

    What will happen?
    Troy will fail in this category simply because the whole Greek/Roman epic costumes bit has been done to death. With no Harry Potter movie to fall back on, the Academy will choose LSASoUE.
Directing
    The Nominees:
    The Aviator
    Million Dollar Baby
    Ray
    Sideways
    Vera Drake

    What will happen?
    This could easily be the least interesting selection of nominees in the past four years. Since no clear cut winner jumps out at me, I'm going to choose The Aviator over Million Nominated Baby.
Documentary Feature
    The Nominees:
    Born into Brothels
    The Story of the Weeping Camel
    Super Size Me
    Tupac: Resurrection
    Twist of Faith

    What will happen?
    Though it won't win, Born into Brothels will use its nomination to worm its way into a boxed set with Band of Brothers in 2006. Tupac: Resurrection sounds like a blaxploitation version of Passion of the Christ but has the misfortune of not starring Richard Roundtree. You would not be visiting the URI! Zone if I didn't pick The Story of the Weeping Camel hands down.
Documentary Short Subject
    The Nominees:
    Autism is a World
    The Children of Leningradsky
    Hardwood
    Mighty Times: The Children's March
    Sister Rose's Passion

    What will happen?
    The winner this year will be Autism is a World, leading the directors to create an all-American sequel called Autism in New York.
Film Editing
    The Nominees:
    The Aviator
    Collateral
    Finding Neverland
    Million Dollar Baby
    Ray

    What will happen?
    No one cares about this category. Let's give it to Ray.

As you can see, I have not actually seen any of today's movies, making my predictions twice as valid.

To Be Continued...

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